EMBI Data Room· Research
Glossary
Section 02 · Research

The baseline, in five documents.

Prepared for the National Bankers Association Foundation team. Five documents, each answering one plain question about small-business lending: how much of it happens, where it lands in Kansas and Missouri, how this instrument would be priced and measured, how much of that lending mission-driven banks do today, and which ZIP codes are ready. Every document opens with a plain-language summary — the charts are the evidence, not the reading.

1.23M
Loan records
$240B
Gross approvals
30 yrs
Vintages covered
5
Documents
Start here

Five questions, in order

You do not need to be an analyst to use this file. Each document answers one plain question, and each one opens with a short summary in ordinary language before any chart appears. Read them in this order.

REFERENCE

What does this word mean?

A plain-language glossary of every term the documents use — and the same definitions open inline wherever a term appears.

Open
Index

The documents

The same five documents in detail. Each one is live: filter, sort, hover and drill into the underlying register rather than reading a static page.

DOC 01

The lending landscape, mapped.

Every 7(a) and 504 loan the SBA disclosed across three decades — 1.23 million approvals, geocoded to the county, resolved to the industry, and traced from origination to payoff or charge-off.

1.23M
Loan records
$240B
Gross approvals
$23.0B
Charged off
Open document
DOC 02

Kansas and Missouri, loan by loan.

The regional cut: county-level penetration, metro concentration, sector mix and loss history across the two-state footprint the initiative underwrites.

32,333
Regional loans
210
Counties
2
States
Open document
DOC 03

Two baselines, one instrument.

The loss baseline and the impact baseline that together price and measure the instrument: loss emergence curves, loss drivers, guarantee structure, and the impact metrics that must be evidenced.

4.2 yrs
Median time to charge-off
44%
Loss emerged by year five
2
Baselines
Open document
DOC 04

The mission-lending baseline is forty loans.

MDI and CDFI depositories matched into the SBA register: what the mission-lending network actually originated, nationally and in the region, and the additionality that gap implies.

40
Regional mission-lender loans
MDI + CDFI
Networks matched
4
Regional branches
Open document
DOC 05

Same businesses. Different readiness.

Thirty thousand scored businesses across 286 ZIP codes: where SBA access is weakest, businesses are no smaller — they carry more critical gaps, score fifteen points lower, and are funded at two-thirds the rate.

30,000
Businesses scored
63
Priority ZIP codes
$4.10B
Supportable capital undeployed
Open document